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13:13, 7 November 2025

The future of cargo transit through Azerbaijan to Armenia has raised concerns among social media users.

Cargo transit through Azerbaijan to Armenia may be terminated at any time by Baku's decision, social media users noted. The Kazakh government reported the shipment of wheat to Armenia via Azerbaijan.

As reported by "Caucasian Knot," Azerbaijan has lifted restrictions on cargo transit to Armenia. Russian Railways organized the shipment of more than 1,000 tons of wheat from Dimitrovgrad station in the Ulyanovsk region to Armenia. The Armenian government noted that this fulfilled one of the agreements reached in the United States, which contributes to strengthening the peace established between Yerevan and Baku.

Lifting restrictions on cargo transit to Armenia will not generate significant revenue for official Baku, but will open prospects for broader economic cooperation between the two countries, according to Azerbaijani analysts. The transit route is expensive and is currently suitable for demonstration shipments, according to Armenian experts.

Two posts about the start of Russian grain transportation through Azerbaijan to Armenia received 206 and 80 comments on the Caucasian Knot* Facebook page, which has 159,000 subscribers.

Some users expressed concerns that rail shipments through Azerbaijan to Armenia could be stopped.

"The channel could be closed at any moment," believes Gennady Musaelayn.

A user whose username is written in Armenian agreed with him. He noted that the canal could be closed even "tomorrow."

"Everyone needs the corridor, first and foremost Armenia itself. Through this corridor, Armenia will significantly increase its GDP," believes Ulugbek Abdulhakov.

A number of users noted that it would have been possible to transport cargo to Armenia via Georgia.

"It would have been possible to go directly through Georgia, rather than bypassing Azerbaijan," noted Gevorg Harutyunyan.

"How will grain wagons reach Georgia unless they go through Azerbaijan?" - objected Mushfig Guseinov.

"Sochi, Sukhumi, and Tbilisi are closer, but since the military conflict of 1992, this has not been an option," commented Arnold Grigor.

"Direct transportation through Georgia is only possible by road, but due to the winter and restrictions on travel through "Upper Lars," this (railway service) is the best solution. Rail transportation is several times cheaper than road transportation, meaning it is more profitable," pointed out Elmar Seidov.

"I don't understand why only wheat is brought to Armenia? Are there no other products?" - asked Artur Vardanyan.

"Azerbaijan simply unblocked the road. Use it and bring whatever you want. Within the law, of course," replied Dadash Abasov.

Armenia doesn't grow wheat and relies on imports. "The wheat acreage in Armenia is not limited in terms of quality and the cultivation of high-quality wheat—it's rather insignificant. We import about 98 percent of our grain. Due to soil and climate conditions, we cannot fully meet domestic consumption," economist Hrair Kamendatyan noted earlier.

Some users noted that shipments from Russia began after Kazakhstan's decision to supply grain.

"As soon as they realized that Kazakh grain was coming, they immediately got going," wrote Anush Gevorgyan.

On November 6, Kazakhstan's National Grain Operator sent the first batch of milling wheat to the Republic of Armenia. "The delivery became possible for the first time in 30 years thanks to agreements between the heads of state of Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, which allowed transit through Azerbaijan to resume. The lifting of all restrictions on cargo transit in the direction of Yerevan was announced at a meeting between Presidents Kassym-Jomart Tokayev and Ilham Aliyev on October 21, 2025, in Astana," the Kazakh government reported on its website.

As a reminder, on August 8, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan signed a declaration on the cessation of hostilities at a meeting in Washington. However, Aliyev and Pashinyan did not sign the peace agreement, but only initialed it, and most of the declaration's clauses contained vague wording, analysts noted.

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Translated automatically via Google translate from https://www.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/417022

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